The following are betting tips for selected fixtures in Gameweek 8 of the 2023/24 English Premier League. Where two or more options are provided for the same tip, pick the one that best suits your risk appetite.
My best bets each week are published on AusSportsTipping.com
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Luton Town vs. Tottenham
Tottenham in the head-to-head at 1.45 (Unibet)
Luton have made a 1-1-5 start to the season and are currently priced at 1.25 odds to be relegated. Tottenham have won five of their last six games and they have scored at least twice in all seven games this season. Tottenham have already won away against Burnley and Bournemouth this season and Luton are no more difficult than those opponents. Luton are backing up following their midweek home defeat to Burnley, so Tottenham will be the fresher of the two sides.
Burnley vs. Chelsea
Chelsea in the head-to-head at 1.75 (Betfair)
This bet is based on the assumption that Chelsea have turned the corner. They have endured a torrid start to the season but they beat Brighton in the League Cup last week and they won away against Fulham last week. Chelsea sit 11th on the table, but based on expected goals, Chelsea sit 4th or 6th, depending on the model. Burnley have gone 0-0-4 at home this season. They will be backing up after playing Luton midweek, so Chelsea will be the fresher of the two sides. Chelsea have won five consecutive away games against Burnley and their last win was by a 4-0 margin in March, 2022.
Crystal Palace vs. Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest +0.5 at 1.76 (Betfair)
This bet is based heavily on the hamstring injury to Crystal Palace’s best player, Eberechi Eze. Prior to being substituted late at Old Trafford last week he had played every minute for Palace in the Premier League, but in the League Cup he started from the bench. In both of those League Cup matches, Crystal Palace were dreadful in Eze’s absence. They fell behind 2-0 to Plymouth Argyle before he came on in the second half as Palace ran out 4-2 winners. Palace then fell behind 3-0 to Manchester United before Eze came on the field for a goalless remainder of the game. Eze’s absence compounds the injury to Michael Olise, which leaves Palace short of playmakers. Nottingham Forest went 1-1-0 against Crystal Palace last season so a draw or possibly an upset win wouldn’t surprise me.
Nottingham Forest +1.5 at 1.22 (Betfair)
This is a more conservative option to the wager above. Six of Crystal Palace’s seven home wins over the last twelve months were by a one-goal margin.
Arsenal vs. Manchester United
Over 2.5 goals at 1.90 (Betfair)
Arsenal’s last thirteen home games went over 2.5 goals and four of their last five games went over 3.5. Man City’s last four away games went over 2.5 goals. The last four meetings between Arsenal and Man City went over 2.5 goals and three of those meetings went over 3.5. City lost last week and over the last twelve months all five of their games following a defeat went over 2.5 goals.